Fulham v Liverpool

Fulham and Liverpool’s games average 3.02 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 38% chance that Fulham will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 58% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.73.
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Instead, we can get odds of 1.91, giving us 25% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score.

West Ham v Huddersfield

West Ham and Huddersfield’s games average 2.47 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 93% chance that West Ham will have scored it.

According to the model, West Ham will win this game 85% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.17.

Instead, we are getting 1.55 giving us 224% value.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 86% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.17.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.65, giving us 282% added value.

West Ham will win to nil 76% of the time according to the model, suggesting odds of 1.32.

Instead, we’re getting odds of 2.45, giving us 353% value.

Hence we are going for West Ham Win to Nil

Everton v Chelsea

Everton and Chelsea’s games average 2.73 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 54% chance that Everton will have scored it.

According to the model, Everton will win this game 42% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.36.

Instead, we are getting 4.2 giving us 135% value.

Hence we are going for Everton Win

Burnley v Leicester

Burnley and Leicester’s games average 2.85 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 61% chance that Burnley will have scored it.

According to the model, Burnley will win this game 51% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.96.

Instead, we are getting 3.14 giving us 123% value.

Hence we are going for Burnley Win

Bournemouth v Newcastle

Bournemouth and Newcastle’s games average 3.17 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 73% chance that Bournemouth will have scored it.

According to the model, Bournemouth will win this game 67% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.5.

Instead, we are getting 2.11 giving us 122% value.

Hence we are going for Bournemouth Win

Arsenal v Manchester United

Arsenal and Man United’s games average 3.38 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 59% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.

According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 51% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.96.

Instead, we are getting 2.38 giving us 44% value.

Hence we are going for Arsenal Win

Chelsea v Wolves

Chelsea and Wolves’s games average 2.60 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 31% chance that Wolves will have scored it.

According to the model, Wolves will win this game 16% of the time, suggesting odds of 6.25.

Instead, we are getting 7.00 giving us 14% value.

Hence we are going for Wolves Win

Manchester City v Watford

Man City and Watford’s games average 3.07 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 26% chance that Watford will have scored it.

According to the model, Watford will win or draw this game 30% of the time, suggesting odds of 3.33.

Instead, we are getting 6.4 giving us 132% value.

Hence we are going for Watford Double Chance

Newcastle v Everton

Newcastle and Everton’s games average 2.41 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 54% chance that Newcastle will have scored it.

According to the model, Newcastle will win this game 41% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.44.

Instead, we are getting 2.88 giving us 31% value.

Hence we are going for Newcastle Win