Kurt Holobaugh vs Thiago Moises

Event

May 11, 2019 11:00 pm

Tip by

DaveBets

on May 9, 2019 9:00 pm

Result

Lost

Profit

-0.5 units

Tip type

privateTip

Selection

Kurt Holobaugh to win

Odds

2.10 (min. 2.00)

Bookie

William Hill

Stake

0.5 units

Sport

UFC, Fighting

Tournament

UFC 237

Comparison

N/A

Bet type

Winner

Notes

N/A

Description

In a fight that should be way closer to a pick em than the opening odds suggest, Kurt Holobaugh is coming in at a great price here. He has the size and experience advantage first of all, and other than Thiago fighting in his home country, I can’t figure out why the line is sat so juicy for Kurt.

The fight is scheduled for a 155-pound fight in the Lightweight division, both fighters have fought in the Featherweight division but Kurt is certainly boasting the bigger frame and should have no trouble’s taking the fight where he pleases. At 5’9, I predict we’ll see Thiago struggle with striking and also struggle initiating any type of grappling fight, Kurt will dictate where the fight ends up and given that huge factor, he might even be able to get the finish.

The only path to potential victory for Thiago here would be by submission, so long as Kurt can avoid the takedown, I’m happy to side with the underdog here because the size advantage just seems too good to ignore on a price were being given.

With 5.12 significant strikes landed per minute versus Thiago and his 2.27 strikes landed per minute, it’s clear Kurt excels here. Kurt struggled with the takedown against Barcelos, but Thiago doesn’t implement the same wrestling technique like Barcelos so I’m thinking this fight could stay standing, which won’t end well for Moises.