May 12, 2019 3:00 pm
on May 8, 2019 11:21 pm
3.3 (min. 3.1)
England - Premier League
Burnley and Newcastle's games average 3.09 goals per game.
When a goal is scored, there is a 48% chance that Burnley will have scored it.
According to the model, Burnley will win this game 36% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.81.
Instead, we are getting 3.3 giving us 27% added value.
Hence we are going for Burnley Win