Brad Katona vs Merab Dvalishvili

Event

May 4, 2019 10:00 pm

Tip by

DaveBets

on May 3, 2019 5:04 pm

Result

Lost

Profit

-0.5 units

Tip type

privateTip

Selection

Brad Katona to Win

Odds

2.30 (min. 2.10)

Bookie

bet365

Stake

0.5 units

Sport

UFC, Fighting

Tournament

UFC FIGHT NIGHT 151

Comparison

N/A

Bet type

Winner

Notes

N/A

Description

Canadian native Brad Katona has his second fight at Bantamweight against his toughest opposition to date, Merab Dvalishvilli. The Ultimate Fighter 27 winner fight’s out of SBG Ireland and makes the trip back home to Canada defending soil versus Dvalishvilli who has been struggling to get in the win column since his UFC debut. Merab has great wrestling but I think Brad takes his personal progression seriously and will surprise a lot of people in this fight.

With a fight card so short on the amount of decent looking underdogs, Brad was one of the only play’s that I evaluated and actually felt comfortable playing. I do like Merab but he is renowned for handing the fight to his opponent, his lack of effort and fight IQ allows the judges to sway. Fighting against the home town boy will do him no favours if he continues this bad habit.

 

I think Katona will be the better striker, I have no doubt in my mind that Merab can take Brad to the floor. I just don’t think he’ll do enough and its possible Brad could scramble Merab and we’ve witnessed in previous fight’s that Merab is susceptible to a beating of his back. The 27-year-old is 8-0 in his professional career with two of them inside the UFC.

It does worry me that Brad Katona has easily been taking down in the past but Merabs victory over Terrion Ware was equally as unimpressive as Brads prior takedown defence. Oddsmakers favouring Merab here makes sense, the takedowns do stand out. I just think Brad will be the smarter fighter here and take this fight by decision.

With slim pickings in the underdog department this week, I’ll take a shot with Brad Katona being able to keep this fight close and considering he’s fighting in his home country… I’m sure the judges will side the Canadians way.