Arsenal v Newcastle

Event

April 1, 2019 9:00 pm

Tip by

MathsProfit

on March 27, 2019 11:47 am

Result

Won

Profit

14 units

Tip type

publicTip

Selection

Arsenal Win to Nil

Odds

2.4 (min. 2.25)

Bookie

Betfair SP

Stake

10 units

Sport

Football

Tournament

England - Premier League

Comparison

Comparison link

Bet type

Money Line, Both Teams To Score

Notes

N/A

Description

Arsenal and Newcastle's games average 2.85 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 79% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.

According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 75% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.34.

Instead, we are getting 1.42 giving us 24% value.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 60% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.67.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.95, giving us 42% added value.

Arsenal will win to nil 49% of the time according to the model, suggesting odds of 2.03.

Instead, we're getting odds of 2.4, giving us 36% value.

Hence we are going for Arsenal Win to Nil