April 1, 2019 9:00 pm
on March 27, 2019 11:47 am
Arsenal Win to Nil
2.4 (min. 2.25)
England - Premier League
Money Line, Both Teams To Score
Arsenal and Newcastle's games average 2.85 goals per game.
When a goal is scored, there is a 79% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.
According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 75% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.34.
Instead, we are getting 1.42 giving us 24% value.
Both Teams to Score NO will land 60% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.67.
Instead, we can get odds of 1.95, giving us 42% added value.
Arsenal will win to nil 49% of the time according to the model, suggesting odds of 2.03.
Instead, we're getting odds of 2.4, giving us 36% value.
Hence we are going for Arsenal Win to Nil