May 5, 2019 4:30 pm
on May 3, 2019 11:50 am
Arsenal Win to Nil
2.45 (min. 2.2)
England - Premier League
Money Line, Both Teams To Score
Arsenal and Brighton's games average 2.86 goals per game.
When a goal is scored, there is a 80% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.
According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 76% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.32.
Instead, we are getting 1.4 giving us 25% value.
Both Teams to Score NO will land 61% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.64.
Instead, we can get odds of 1.9, giving us 40% added value.
According to the model, Arsenal will win to nil 51% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.96.
Instead, we're getting odds of 2.45, giving us 51% value.
Hence we are going for Arsenal Win to Nil