Chelsea v Burnley

Chelsea and Burnley’s games average 2.87 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 69% chance that Chelsea will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 63% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.60.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.2, giving us 100% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score

Arsenal v Palace

Arsenal and Palace’s games average 2.87 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 74% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.

According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 68% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.46.

Instead, we are getting 1.5 giving us 9% value.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 53% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.88.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.2, giving us 37% added value.

According to the model, Arsenal will win to nil 41% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.48. read more

Cardiff v Liverpool

Cardiff and Liverpool’s games average 2.79 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 37% chance that Cardiff will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 53% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.88.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.3, giving us 48% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score

Everton v Man United

Everton and Man United’s games average 2.94 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 51% chance that Everton will have scored it.

According to the model, Everton will win this game 39% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.59.

Instead, we are getting 3.3 giving us 45% value.

Both Teams to Score will land 59% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.68.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.72, giving us 6% added value.

According to the model, Everton will win with BTTS landing 20% of the time, suggesting odds of 5.00. read more

Newcastle v Southampton

Newcastle and Southampton’s games average 2.51 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 59% chance that Newcastle will have scored it.

According to the model, Newcastle will win this game 48% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.09.

Instead, we are getting 2.46 giving us 34% value.

Hence we are going for Newcastle Win

Huddersfield v Watford

Huddersfield and Watford’s games average 2.7 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 43% chance that Huddersfield will have scored it.

According to the model, Huddersfield will win this game 28% of the time, suggesting odds of 3.55.

Instead, we are getting 4.8 giving us 49% value.

Hence we are going for Huddersfield Win

Bournemouth v Fulham

Bournemouth and Fulham’s games average 3.21 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 75% chance that Bournemouth will have scored it.

According to the model, Bournemouth will win this game 72% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.39.

Instead, we are getting 1.69 giving us 77% value.

Hence we are going for Bournemouth Win

West Ham v Leicester

West Ham and Leicester’s games average 2.72 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 60% chance that West Ham will have scored it.

According to the model, West Ham will win this game 50% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.00.

Instead, we are getting 3.3 giving us 130% value.

Hence we are going for West Ham Win

Wolves v Brighton

Wolves and Brighton’s games average 2.55 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 72% chance that Wolves will have scored it.

According to the model, Wolves will win this game 63% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.58.

Instead, we are getting 1.79 giving us 36% value.

Hence we are going for Wolves Win

Man City v Tottenham

Man City and Spurs’s games average 3.12 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 35% chance that Spurs will have scored it.

According to the model, Spurs will win or draw this game 42% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.38.

Instead, we are getting 3.62 giving us 90% value.

Hence we are going for Spurs Double Chance