Man City and Spurs’s games average 3.12 goals per game.
When a goal is scored, there is a 35% chance that Spurs will have scored it.
According to the model, Spurs will win or draw this game 42% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.38.
Instead, we are getting 3.62 giving us 90% value.
Hence we are going for Spurs Double Chance