Chelsea v Burnley

Chelsea and Burnley’s games average 2.87 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 69% chance that Chelsea will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 63% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.60.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.2, giving us 100% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score

Arsenal v Palace

Arsenal and Palace’s games average 2.87 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 74% chance that Arsenal will have scored it.

According to the model, Arsenal will win this game 68% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.46.

Instead, we are getting 1.5 giving us 9% value.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 53% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.88.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.2, giving us 37% added value.

According to the model, Arsenal will win to nil 41% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.48. read more

Cardiff v Liverpool

Cardiff and Liverpool’s games average 2.79 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 37% chance that Cardiff will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 53% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.88.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.3, giving us 48% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score

Everton v Man United

Everton and Man United’s games average 2.94 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 51% chance that Everton will have scored it.

According to the model, Everton will win this game 39% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.59.

Instead, we are getting 3.3 giving us 45% value.

Both Teams to Score will land 59% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.68.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.72, giving us 6% added value.

According to the model, Everton will win with BTTS landing 20% of the time, suggesting odds of 5.00. read more

Crystal Palace v Man City

Palace and City’s games average 2.87 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 39% chance that Palace will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score will land 56% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.78.
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Instead, we can get odds of 2, giving us 28% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score

Manchester United v West Ham

Man United and West Ham’s games average 3 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 71% chance that Man United will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 48% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 2.06.

Instead, we can get odds of 2.2, giving us 13% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score NO.

Tottenham v Huddersfield

Tottenham and Huddersfield’s games average 2.71 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 92% chance that Tottenham will have scored it.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 81% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.23
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Instead, we can get odds of 1.73, giving us 217% added value.

Hence we are backing Both Teams to Score NO.

Leicester v Newcastle

Leicester and Newcastle’s games average 2.48 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 75% chance that Leicester will have scored it.

According to the model, Leicester will win this game 67% of the time, suggesting odds of 1.50.

Instead, we are getting 1.7 giving us 39% value.

Both Teams to Score NO will land 61% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.65.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.85, giving us 31% added value.

According to the model, Leicester will win to nil 45% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.22. read more

Southampton v Liverpool

Southampton and Liverpool’s games average 2.79 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 42% chance that Southampton will have scored it.

According to the model, Southampton will win this game 27% of the time, suggesting odds of 3.65..

Instead, we are getting 8.5 giving us 183% value.

Both Teams to Score will land 55% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.81.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.9, giving us 11% added value.

According to the model, Southampton will win with BTTS landing 14% of the time, suggesting odds of 7.14. read more

Wolves v Man United

Wolves and Man United’s games average 2.85 goals per game.

When a goal is scored, there is a 48% chance that Wolves will have scored it.

According to the model, Wolves will win this game 35% of the time, suggesting odds of 2.85.

Instead, we are getting 4 giving us 62% value.

Both Teams to Score will land 58% of the time according to the model, indicating odds of 1.73.

Instead, we can get odds of 1.86, giving us 17% added value.

According to the model, Wolves will win with BTTS landing 18% of the time, suggesting odds of 5.55. read more