Utah Jazz – Season Preview and bets

Utah Jazz will win around 60 games this season!

I know saying the Jazz will win around 60 games sounds bold but I truly believe they are capable of something like that. In my opinion they and the Nuggets will fight for the number 1 seed in the West with the Clippers, Lakers and Rockets load managing their super stars and also trying to figure things out as the season goes on. The Jazz already showed that they are an elite defensive team in the last 2 season and they managed to address many of their problems with the moves they made this summer.
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Nuggets may be the best NBA team in the regular season in 2020!

This got to be one of my favorites bets for the upcoming season and usually those do not fail. Denver Nuggets are one of the most deep teams in the league and in my opinion they have a good chance to finish with the best record in the league next year. Maybe some of you believe that I am too optimistic but this roster is constructed perfectly for the regular season. In the playoffs their chances to win won’t be this high considering their young core and lack of elite defensive players. However, in the regular season a Jokic led offense with so much firepower combined with one of the most deep benches in the league will be a nightmare for the NBA non elite tier teams. I expect this team to destroy weak defenses scoring 120+ points easily and winning in blowouts. read more

Finally some hope for the Bulls fans!

Chicago Bulls fans did not have many motives to be optimistic or happy in the recent years but I think better times are coming for them. I believe that this season they will compete for the playoffs! Yeah, I said it! Do I think they will make it? No. However, I do believe that they have a real chance and their roster look really good compared to the last seasons.

Next I will present why do I like this Bulls team and why do I think they will go over the 30.5 Wins that the bookies have settled for them. read more

“WTA Monterrey Outright bets and Draw Analysis.” by Ardeal

Monterrey tournament is ongoing and I’m trying to make it as short as possible so as many as you guys will be able to back my outright/futures picks. The tournament is held in the city of Monterrey (540m altitude), Mexico, on hard courts and has featured a 32-player draw. The 2018 tournament winner was Spain’s Garbine Muguruza, who defeated Babos in the final.

Top remaining seeds in Monterrey are as follows: #5 Kerber (1), #19 Muguruza (2), #33 Pavlyuchenkova (3), #67 Azarenka (5), #58 Flipkens (6), #66 Mladenovic (7) and #71 Rybarikova (8). The only seed that lost so far is Riske- and she lost in the first round against Vickery. read more

Open 13 (Marseille). Stefanos Tsitsipas v Hubert Hurkacz. Match Preview and Free Betting Tip #TipstersClub (by Ardeal)

Indoor tennis started and I have to say I love it! This is the best time of the season, along with the short grass court part. I love it because there is enough data to compile odds, enough data to see how each player has played in the past on this surface, but also there are a lot of courts covered by streamings and that is the best way to analyze a match.

Tsitsipas is the #12 in the world right now, reaching this ranking after this superb run to the Semis of Australian Open. The fact that he didn’t do anything after that is no surprise, as he stated several times that his physical condition isn’t that what he hoped for and he is really tired after the long AO campaign.

Stef played Sofia where he won 7-6 6-4 against Struff and then lost to Monfils 6-3 7-6. He then played Rotterdam where he lost to Dzumhur 6-4 1-6 7-5, as a 1.19 favorite to win the match. I saw all matches after the Australian swing and I have to say he is was not fully fit and not even close to fully committed to the matches played.

Most of the tennis-followers say that Tsitsi is the new Federer and is a breath of fresh air on the ATP tour. I might have to disagree with this as I don’t really rate him that much. It is hard to compare a kid to Federer, and comparing a kid that can barely break serve to that level of achievement is pure insanity.

Tsitsipas played 14 matches in 2019 and won 8 of them, 5 of them came in Australia. So, besides of the Australian run, he has won 3 other matches. He managed to lose to Norrie (Hopman Cup), Federer (Hopman Cup), Seppi (Sydney), Monfils (Sofia), and Dzumhur (Rotterdam). 4 of those mentioned losses came as him being a favorite. During those 14 matches played in this year, he managed to play 42 sets of tennis, and of those 42 sets of tennis, he played a stunning amount of tie-breaks (13 tie-breaks). That is 30,95% chance of playing a tie-break in a set. That is nearly an Ivo/Isner level of tie-breaks played.

In 2019, in his official ATP matches, he managed to hold serve 87% of times (which is really good), but break only 14% of all return games. That is really low for a player ranked #12. These numbers show us a clear story of Tsitsipas. He is over-achieving by winning a lot of close matches, and also tie-breaks in the end.

Stefanos will face in this match, top-ranked Polish player, Hubert Hurkacz. One thing you need to know about Hubert is that he is a great server and possesses a great power when serving. He is also playing a lot of tie-breaks in his matches, but he is still between ATP challenger level and rising to the ATP full-time. He played 11 matches in 2019 and win 7 of them, while during those 11 matches he played 27 sets of tennis. During those 27 sets, he played 11 tie-breaks (4 of them came against Karlovic tho).

Hubert loves playing indoors as he can use his services at full value. Indoors there isn’t any wind and the temperature is constant. Hubert started the Marseille campaign with a surprising win over Krajinovic, being a 2.84 underdog in that clash. This is the first time he plays Marseille, which is not surprising as he played in the past mostly in Challenger events. Hubert’s stats for his 2019 ATP matches are a bit misleading and cannot be considered fully as he played 4 sets against Karlovic. He has an 88% hold percentage (out of 49 service games played) and 4% break percentage (out of his 50 return games played).

Anyway, we can see a clear pattern here, and having two players that rely on their serves, while return this poorly we can clearly expect them to have a close encounter with a tie-break at least. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if HH will win a set, or the match in the end, considering the form Stef is currently. Even a close loss will make this bet a winner here.

The two players have played a match in the NextGen Finals last year, a match won by Tsitsipas 4-1 4-3 4-1, but that really doesn’t matter as they played with special rules there (no-deuce most important).

Hurkacz +3.5 Games @ 2.05 (10 units) with Pinnacle (via SportMarket)

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Delray Beach Open. Nick Kyrgios v John Millman. Match Preview and Free Betting Tip #TipstersClub (by Ardeal)

American outdoor hard court swing starts with Delray Beach Open and we do have a match to be excited about, on a betting way at least. But to that a bit later.

Delray Beach Open is a 250 ATP event that is held in Delray Beach, Florida since 1993. The current title holder is American Frances Tiafoe. In the past years, we did saw a lot of big servers prevail here and the only one that won this title twice in the past 10 years is Ernests Gulbis. The last 5 years this title has been won by Cilic, Karlovic, Querrey, Sock, and Tiafoe. We definitely can see a pattern here. The seeds list for 2019 tournament is rather disappointing with Del Potro (injury problems), Isner (out of form), Tiafoe, Johnson, Millman, Seppi, Fritz, and Mannarino. The 8th seed of Delray Beach is Mannarino, who is ranked #51 in the world and has a 0-6 record in 2019. Just imagine…

They use a Plexipave outdoor hard court that’s rather bouncy and from past experience plays quite slow and heavy at night. Wind is always a big factor, while there might be also some medium-high humidity in the air.

The match I am thinking about most in a betting fashion is the ultimate battle between tennis styles, the match between two fellow Aussies, Nick Kyrgios and John Millman.

The years of these two couldn’t have been more different too. Nick played 4 matches in 2019 and lost 3 of them, while during those 4 matches he played 11 sets of tennis (4 of them were tie-breaks). He lost to Chardy in Brisbane, to Tomic in Kooyong Exhibition, and to Raonic in Australian Open round 1 clash. He hasn’t been impressive at all this year, while in addition to his poor form he had some serious injury issues. Last year he had a hip injury in August and ended the year in December with an elbow injury, while this year he was bitten by a spider and had some swallowed up ankle. Nothing working in his favor right now, not even the Goddess Fortune didn’t do her magic in the draw as he has to face one of the most serious players on tour.

Besides being a very serious player, Millman is also a very hard worker and one of the biggest fighters there is in ATP rankings. He isn’t that flashy and doesn’t try trick-shots as Nick does, but you can put money on him and you know he will give everything. John has a 5W-4L this year and has defeated Sandgren, Tiafoe, Fucsovics, Delbonis, and Dzumhur so far this year. Last year in February, John played Montpellier indoors and lost in the 2nd round, and also won a Challenger event in Kyoto. The sad thing about his career is that he didn’t even win an ATP event so far, but I think that might change this year, as he truly deserves it!

Motivation is a big part of my bet’s arguments, as Kyrgios usually just clowns around during these small tournaments and loses very often as a big favorite (lost to Chardy as 1.37 fave and Tomic as 1.58, while in second part of 2018 he lost to Nishikori in Wimbledon as 1.40, in Atlanta against Norrie as 1.23, in Tokyo against Gasquet as 1.56, in Shanghai as 1.25 against Klahn, and withdrew before playing Basic in Moskow). We can surely see a pattern here and combining this lack of motivation in small tournaments with his physical problems is a perfect mixture to make Millman favorite here.

Millman will do his best to win a couple of matches here and maybe do a nice run and give himself the possibility to win his maiden ATP title.

These two players have met before, back in 2017 during the US Open first round, and then Millman did win the clash 3-1 (6-3 1-6 6-4 6-1), which also shows us, that him losing a set clearly won’t make him stop fighting. This match is the ultimate betting opportunity in my opinion and that’s why I have shared this #FreeTip with you guys!

I would definitely back Millman at a bookie that doesn’t void a retirement after one set played, as Kyrgios might retire at any point, as he has done in the past.

Millman to win @ 2.03 (10 units) with Matchbook (via SportMarket)

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Australian Open WTA Final – Naomi Osaka v Petra Kvitova – Match Preview and Free Betting Tips #AusOpen #TipstersClub (by Ardeal)

The Australian Open final on the women side will take place 26th of January after 9:30 CET. The match couldn’t have been more interesting as, let’s say, we do have the most in-form two girls facing each other on Rod Laver Arena for the Australian Open trophy. The first contender is Japanese Naomi Osaka, ranked no. 4 in the world, and the holder of the US Open trophy (2018). She will face Czech Petra Kvitova, ranked no. 6.

Amazing enough is that they both play for the perfect Slam Final record, but also for the world no. 1 ranking, a ranking that neither of them have been. read more

No Pinnacle, IBC, Matchbook or SBO account? Don’t worry! There is SportMarket for all of these!

We all know which bookies are the best in business and which you need to avoid, or at least need to trick to get money from their pockets.

Once you get to the level of betting where you constantly win you will find out that there are two kinds of bookies around:
1. Where one account is enough for the entire life… And that is the bookie that welcomes winners.
2. Where you need to create accounts once a month with different names because you won. These bookies can be called casual bookmakers and most of them are this kind. read more

Australian Open 2019. Alex Bolt v Jack Sock match preview and free tip. (Ardeal)

The match that caught my attention from the ATP side of the first round ist he clash of two players ranked outside the top-100. Homeboy and wildcard, Alex Bolt (ranked #155) will face American ranked #105 in the world, Jack Sock.

Alex played 5 times in the Australian Open, from those he only played twice in the main draw and is yet to win a main draw match. Interesting is that he never lost a match in Australian Open (qualification or main draw) without winning at least one set, and he never lost at the spread offered. In 2017 he won 3 qualification matches (against Copil, Bachinger, and Benneteau) while being the underdog in 2/3 matches. He then lost to Nishioka in the first round (6-4 1-6 6-2 6-4, covering the spread as a 2.47 underdog). In 2018 he got a WC for the main draw and faced Troicki (Bolt was 3.74 underdog) where he lost in 5 sets, after being 2 sets up. He lost at 6 games, covering the +6.5 offered spread once again. read more

Australian Open 2019. Venus Williams v Mihaela Buzarnescu match preview and free tip. (Ardeal)

One of the best matches to bet in the first round of Australian Open is one in the WTA draw; a match between veteran American, Venus Williams, and lefty Romanian, Mihaela Buzarnescu.

38 years young and ranked #37 in the world, Venus didn’t get any seedings in the Australian Open draw and has, let’s say, a hard road ahead if she wants to achieve something during these two weeks.

Venus had a decent 2018 with 17 wins and 11 losses, from those 12 wins and 7 losses on hard courts. Her best results came at the beginning of the year, a reason why I do back her here. She took a set off Kerber in Sydney back then and lost to Bencic in the 1st round of Australian Open (a hard opponent to face in R1). After those two matches, she got to the Indian Wells SF and tot e Miami QF. read more