Benoit Paire v Kenny De Schepper | 06.11.2018 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger | Tennis | Match preview and Free Tip by Ardeal

There are a couple of more weeks with at least average quality tennis to be played (ATP Challenger level), with the last one finishing 25th of November 2018, in Andria (Italy). This week we have 4 tournaments to be played, and nice to see such a well-balanced mixture, with two Challengers played indoors in Europe (Bratislava and Mouilleron le Captif), one played on hard outdoor in USA (Knoxville), and one in Uruguay on outdoor clay (Montevideo).

 

The match I will analyze today is the first-round match between two Frenchies, held in France.  The match will have facing no. 53 in the world, Benoit Paire, and no. 209, Kenny De Schepper.  Benoit Paire is a 29 years-old Frenchie, with a height of 196cm and using a Right-Handed Forehand and a Two-Handed Backhand. He is being coached, currently, by Jean-Charles Diame. Kenny De Schepper is a 31 years-old Frenchie, with a height of 203cm and using a Left-Handed Forehand and a One-Handed Backhand. He is being coached, currently, by Henri Fabrega.

Paire’s style of play is characterized by its flashiness, unpredictability and at times inconsistency. The main strength of his game is his double-handed backhand, known for its speed and spin. Paire often uses topspin backhands crosscourt at great speed and acute angles to set up a powerful backhand down-the-line to finish off points. In contrast, his forehand is relatively less powerful and consistent, particularly when played on the defense, to the extent that he’s been known to hit backhands inside-out. Paire is also known for his ability and willingness to play drop-shots often on both the forehand and backhand wing throughout matches. Paire possesses a powerful but inconsistent first serve and serves-and-volleys on occasion. Above all, Paire is known for his flashiness on the court. He is known to hit a variety of high-risk shots and trick shots, such as the frontal and back tweener, jumping tweener, drop shots that backspin towards the net and topspin backhands at extremely acute angles, even when unnecessary to win the point. Because of this, he often lightens the mood in matches and wins the crowd’s favor. Of course, because of the same flashy shots, he takes he is known to be one of the most inconsistent players on tour. He is also known to be a choker and to be losing his head when his shots don’t bring the desired results in a short time. He is a player that “loves a good tank”, and there are plenty of examples where he didn’t really bother to do anything on the court.

De Schepper’s style of play can be characterized almost to be opposite to this clash’s opponent. He is known to fight for every ball, run around the court from side to side and slicing, or hitting deep almost every ball, but rarely attacking for a winner, and only when in a great position. He is also known for his good serve that slides away from the opponent and having 2.03m and 104kg one can definitely assume that the power in the service is also very good. The only aspect that is worth mentioning is that Kenny had some back problems which have limit his swing and power used during his service motion. Nevertheless, he possesses a fine service, combined with a good defense and an excellent reach and touch at the net. His movement is shaky, but at least he has the head to fight till the end no matter what the result is.

 

Benoit Has played a lot of tennis this year, with 65 matches (won 32 matches) played in singles and 19 matches (won 9 of them) played in doubles. He had some average results during this year, like the SFs in Pune and Sydney in January, and couple of 3rd rounds in Masters tournaments. Since Wimbledon, he has struggled to find some form, winning only twice 2+ consecutive matches, and one of those times his opponent retired (Pospisil). The fact that he hasn’t played any Challenger Tour matches in 2018 shows us that his ranking level allowed him to get in many main-draws, or at least find some spots in the qualifications of all important matches. It is for the first time since 2008 where he didn’t play any Challenger matches the entire year (besides the actual one). Last year he played in April Sophia Antipolis Ch (lost the final to Bedene), and also the current event (Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger) where he retired in the first round 6-1 5-4 up to Romain Barbosa. Unfortunately for us, his results in this particular Challenger event are good, with a trophy in 2015, a semifinal in 2016 and that mentioned retirement in 2017. Fact is that he hasn’t really “crushed” any of his opponents, losing sets in 6/9 matches that have been finished. The other wins that occurred in straight sets, came against Lestienne (13-10), Janvier (12-8), and Eysseric (12-7). Paire managed to lose as the favorite in the past months to Struff (7-6 6-3 in Winston Salem), Maden (6-4 3-6 6-3 in Metz), Gerasimov (6-4 6-4 in Moskow), Popyrin (6-3 6-3 in Basel), and Fucsovics (6-4 6-4 in Paris Bercy). To top all these bad recent results he also had some physical problems during 2018 and took medical time-outs several times.

 

His current opponent would be clearly the underdog in any serious match between these two and is priced also 3.15 by Pinnacle to win this match. But… And here is a big but. De Schepper ties the direct meetings with Paire (2-2), both having won 1-each in the past 3 years. Paire won in Cherbourg Challenger (indoor back in the days Paire played a lot of these tournaments), while De Schepper won 2-1 in Umag last year (on clay- which is his worst surface of all to play on). To be perfectly honest, De Schepper had a shitty year in 2018, with a record of 27W-32L in singles and 4W-7L in doubles. He started the season with a semifinal in Noumea CHallenger and a final in Koblenz, but after that nothing fell the right way for this gentle giant. He got some good results recently, with a semifinal in Mallorca (start of September) and with a semifinal in Orleans (end of September). His past two matches have been both lost, being the favorite, both lost in close fashion 7-6 6-4, to Stakhovsky in Antwerp Q, and Bonzi in Eckental Challenger.

 

My main bet on this match, despite me thinking that “King Kenny” will win it, is the +3 Asian Handicap on the big lefty French player. Kenny has played a tie-break in 7 out of his last 8 indoor matches (the only one that had no tie-break was a clear win over Maden 6-0 6-4). He covered the +3 handicap in 7 out of the last 9 matches (but two of them were voids as mentioned before). The reason why the Asian Handicap is the main bet is that Paire is known to tank sets and lose them 6-1 or 6-2, which virtually would guarantee to win this bet. Benoit has a fairly inconsistent serve and the fact that this match will be played in an unimportant “venue” is also a bonus that can push him to tank. Of Course, Kenny is a limited player that can do only “this” much, but with a little help (which I am sure he will get) he might also get the win. Paire can get frustrated very rapidly and start hitting unforced-error after unforced-error. How do I see the match? I see some long rallies, easy holds from Kenny and a lot of unforced errors from Benoit from his forehand side. I don’t want to seem over-confident of this bet, but I think that Kenny will win it 6-2 7-6 or something like that, winning at least a set is a banker in my book.


Kenny De Schepper +3 games @ 1.91 with 10 units

(from Pinnacle via broker SportMarket)


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You can read the SportMarket.com review by visiting the Blog-Post:

“No Pinnacle, IBC, Matchbook or SBO account? Don’t worry! There is SportMarket for all of these!”

The ‘Champ Champ’ Daniel Cormier will school Derrick Lewis

Madison Square Garden sets the stage for UFC230 this weekend in New York, without surprise, the UFC has failed to give this card the promotion it deserves.

Daniel Cormier (21-1-0) takes on ‘The Black Beast’ Derrick Lewis in a 5 round Heavyweight division title fight. The turnaround for Lewis has been less than a month as we saw him knockout Alexander Volkov at the beginning of October at UFC226.

Any die-hard realises Lewis has one path to victory in this fight, he either catches Cormier with that huge one punch KO or he losses and giving the fact Cormier is p4p (in my opinion) one of the greatest fighters we’ve been blessed to watch, Derricks chances of a victory are very slim.

The 39-year-old former Olympic champion Daniel Cormier has had one of the most decorative careers than any other fighter in the UFC. With his one kryptonite and only loss being Jon Jones, I truly believe DC will end his career defeating Jon! The current light heavyweight and heavyweight champion Cormier has defeated a long list of killers from strike force and the UFC… Anderson Silva, Frank Mir, Roy Nelson, Dan Henderson, Rumble Johnson, Alex Gustafsson, Volkan Ozdemir & Stipe Miocic just to name a few.

I don’t think DC will risk a standup war with Derrick, straight into round 1 I vision the champ using his ultra high-level wrestling to wear down the black beast right off the bat. I wouldn’t be surprised if Daniel instantly takes this fight to the floor and finishes it via submission or ground and pound in round 1, but if DC doesn’t finish right away it’s going to be a long night for Lewis. Daniel will smoother him and keep himself well away from that devastating KO power that Derrick possesses. Eventually, DC will get the finish I have no doubt in that.

I’m not sure taking a fight 4 weeks out from getting lit up by Volkan until the 3rd round finish was a smart move by Lewis, but I also realise in this sport you have to take your chances. Unfortunately for Lewis, he’s matched up with one of the greats, without taking anything away from Lewis and his accomplishments he just doesn’t match up to the skill set of Cormier.

So this week’s free tip is quite obvious but the price is really ugly so I’m going to double up with another matchup I think relies on the weaker opponent needing to put all hope in the KO which is Isreal Adesanya vs Dereck Brunson. Israel ‘style-bender’ Adesanya will be the second British born champion in the UFC next to Michael Bisping, Brunson is just a bump in the road that Adesanya has to drive over.

The striking and movement skill of Isreal is a nice breath of fresh air to watch in the octagon, he’s like a Jon Jones/Mcgregor hybrid. Youtube search the man and enjoy his highlight reels, you won’t be disappointed.

The bookie knows what’s good too, as both Daniel and Israel are priced quite high. Combine them both and that will be this week’s free tip.

Free Prediction: Daniel Cormier & Israel Adesanya both win
Stake : 5units @ 1.67

Tune in this Saturday/Sunday night on BTsports from 12 midnight BST for UFC230 @ Madison Square Garden.


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Points gained – Is this advanced stat really good for NBA predictions?

The POINTS GAINED stat

This might be a little confusing especially if you are not into basketball advanced stats but bear with me for this blog post and I will try to make it easy to understand. I only heard about this stat this summer listening to a podcast but at first, I did not give too much importance to it. However, after the first matches of the season, I am starting to believe the ‘Points Gained’ stats can help a lot when we want to predict how good a team will be. So let’s start this by explaining what points gained means. I won’t go in details but this state refers to how more points a certain player gain than the average player in the NBA. For example, the leader in points gained last season was Curry at +4.7 points which means that with the 19.5 scoring opportunities he has per game he scores 4.7 more points than the average NBA player would score with the same amount of scoring opportunities. The next players in the standings are Durant, Harden, Towns, Lebron and Davis so it is pretty safe to say that this stat is pretty good in measuring player actual contribution.

How does this stat actually helps us?

So the next step we need to take so we can predict a team performance is to add all their player’s points gained. Last season this worked pretty well and most notably the Rockets had almost the same number of points gained as the Warriors. As we saw last season the Rockets actually had more wins than the Warriors in the regular season and almost won in the Western Conference Finals.  This model also predicted 7 of the top 8 offenses in the Western Conference which is very impressive. So what is this model saying about the new season? Well… The Warriors are still number 1 as everyone could guess but we have a new number 2: the New Orleans Pelicans. I was not very sure what to believe about this team but the first 2 games of the season confirmed the points gained theory. The Pelicans offense was absolutely unstoppable and they actually became the first team in the last 20 years that managed to score at least 130 points in both of their first 2 games of a season. Is this a coincidence? Maybe, but considering other teams that are high in the points gained standings also started the season very strong I believe there is a chance it is more than that.

Why the points gained stat likes the Pelicans so much?

The main reason is their superstar Anthony Davis who is one of the best players in the world. He is very good in points gained too and considering that he is still young I expect him to have another huge season and lead his team to glory. However, the thing that makes the Pelicans so good in points gained is that the majority of their players are not negative in this statistic. Actually, many of their players including Mirotic, Holiday, Miller and Randle are above average. In contrast, a team like the Rockets may have some very good players in points gained like Harden, Paul or Capela but they also have some high negative players like Carmelo or Carter Williams replacing positive players like Ariza and Mbah a Moute.

Are the Pelicans good in real life too?

So if you read what I said so far it is clear that the points gained statistic likes the Pelicans a lot. The same statistic that predicted the Rockets will be great in 2017/18 says that this is the Pelicans year. But what is my opinion on the Pelicans in real life? I will only say that I absolutely loved what I saw in the first 2 matches and if they stay healthy I am pretty sure they will be a problem this year. Now let’s take a short look at their roster. Davis is one of the best players in the world, a two-way guy that will be a Hall-Of-Famer and have a good chance to win the MVP. Holiday is a great complementary star who also plays hard both on offense and defense. He is a former-Starr and if he would’ve stayed healthy in recent years his reputation would’ve been way better in my opinion. He showed how good he is in the playoffs last year dominating superstar Lillard in the first round sweep. Another important piece is Nikola Mirotic who started the season with 2 incredible performances. He won’t play like that all season long but he is an underrated player. Last year he played for the Bulls until being traded to the Pels and when he was available the team record was 14-11. Without him, they went 13-47. If that’s not impressive I don’t know what it is. The biggest acquisition this summer was Julius Randle and I was very impressed by this young man progress in the second part of the last season. In the first 2 matches of this season, he looked even better making some threes and being dominant attacking the paint. Randle is a unique player that is very hard to defend by shorter and weaker players. In a league that rely more and more on switching a player like Randle becomes even more valuable. Another acquisition this summer is Payton who was signed to replace Rondo. While I am not very high on the young guard I could easily see him having his most efficient season in his career considering that he never played for a team that had a good until the Pelicans. Some other important pieces are E’twaun Moore and Darius Miller and I like them both as rotation players . Moore is a versatile player that can have some scoring outbursts now and then while Miller is playing his second NBA season after some good years spent in Europe. If we also consider how good they looked in the playoffs last year I believe there are enough reasons to believe that they can have a very good season and actually be better than anyone in their division.

The Southwest Division and my free tip

So my free tip for you will be the Pelicans to win their division. There are 3 main reasons I like this bet: the Pelicans strength(see above), the other teams in the division got weaker and the value in the odds. Firstly I will say that I still believe the Rockets are very strong with the MVP James Harden and hall of famer point guard Chris Paul leading their offence. However, they already lost 2 of their 3 games so far including a big loss against the Pelicans in the first match. They were looking lost on defence and their moves this summer makes them weaker. The other team with chances to win this division is the Spurs but considering they lost Kawhi Leonard and some veterans like Manu, Parker and Green and also their starting pointguard Murray will be injured all season I can’t see them getting close to 50 wins. Betway still offers 10.0 odds for the Pelicans to win their division which I believe is way too high. Many other bookies offers between 7.5 and 9 odds which I still believe represents great value.

Hope you liked this blog post and if that is so I will post more when I find a good subject and time allow.


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His stats* since he started with TipstersClub:

Total Profit 74.690 units
ROI 7.241%
Bets won 136/254 (53.543%)
Total Stake 1,031.50 units
Average Stake 4.061 units
Average Odds 1.992

*Stats via Pinnacle odds only.
 

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Aspen Ladd Coming Into UFC229 Straight Up Bad !!!

It’s been a struggle to maintain focus on some of the lower card belts heading into UFC 229 this weekend because let’s face it, McGregor/Khabib is so highly anticipated that everywhere you turn its either a ‘The Eagle’ or ‘The Notorious one’ all up in your grill, but if you’re interested in some potential money makers this weekend I think Aspen Ladd might be a great play for punters.

Aspen is a young up and coming prospect in the womans bantamweight division, currently ranked #9 in the official UFC rankings holding a professional record of 6 fights and 0 losses with only one fight going to the judges scorecards when I say ‘Aspen Ladd is straight up bad’ I do not mean this in the literal sense… she is one tough s.o.b !

Sijara Eubanks (who headlines the main event at UFC230) has been the only female to escape the octagon without being knocked out or submitted by Ladd but still losing by unanimous decision in a convincing victory for the Californian native. It’s been just under a year since Ladd made her UFC debut and with a couple canceled bouts on top off almost a year of free training down at MMA Gold Fight Team, I believe it is her time to shine here. At a tender age of 23, Aspen reminds me of the female equivalent of Sage Northcutt constantly evolving and growing . Without a doubt in my mind, she will be top #5 contender in the near future.

Her opponent, Tanya Evinger is at the opposite end of the scale in terms of career and experience. She is 37 years old with a lot of experience, most notably managing to survive two rounds against Cyborg which many ladies have failed to do. She is now dropping weight and taking a fight with a miniature bull, Aspen is going to walk her down and throw some mean hands at Tanya and although we know Tanya thrives in a dog fight I feel like she will want to avoid that with Aspen.

Aspens base is clearly boxing, her hands have impressed me in all of her 6 professional fights, I’m pretty sure Tanya will want to look for the take-down and avoid any sort of striking match-up with Ladd otherwise she might be seeing stars in the early rounds. That said, Aspen does hold a purple belt in Jiu-Jitsu and 1 submission victory is her short term career.

I’m looking forward to this match-up, take your money and lay it on Aspen Ladd because at a price like -167 / 1.60 … another TKO victory will sure add to her value and you might not see Aspen coming in at a price like this again.

Scheduled to be the one of the biggest fight card’s in UFC history, tune into UFC229 live at 3 AM BST on BT Sport.

Aspen Ladd To Win @ 1.60

Stake : 1.5 units

 

UFC 229 Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Analysis, Insight and Preview

The stage is set, the date is 4 days away and injuries are non-existent this time around, 1000’s of Irish/Russian blooded fight fans are heading out to Las Vegas, Hotels across Vegas are sold out until Sunday, Dana White is panicking in some sort of fashion, Ariel Helwani is drooling at the mouth, Conor haters are ecstatic at the thought of the Irishmen being mauled, Conor fans are just happy to see him back inside the Octagon, but one thing we all have in common as fight fans coming into this week is that we all overly excited as arguably the biggest fight in UFC/MMA/Combat Sports history is about to go DOWN!

Neither of these fighters needs an introduction, but if you’re relatively new to the sport let me give you a brief insight into their career, early life, background & anything in-between.

Khabib Nurmagomedov (26-0 record) (10-0 UFC) is the only undefeated fighter in the UFC to hold the Lightweight Championship. The Dagestan, Russia native has been on an absolute tear since his arrival to the UFC in 2012, dominating the majority of his fights whilst showing little to no emotion is quite a scary fight proposition for any fighter matched up with ‘The Eagle’.

He specializes in Sambo, Judo, Pankration & Freestyle Wrestling with two world championships to his name in Combat Sambo and just like many children who grow up in Dagestan, wrestling from an early age was the norm for Khabib whether it be with boys, men or bears… no seriously, click HERE to see a young Khabib wrestle a bear (breakdown courtesy of Robin Black).

The first Muslim and the first Russian to ever win a UFC title with a record-breaking win streak of 26-0, Not only is he undefeated but Khabib has never lost a round on the judges scorecard. Khabib Nurmagomedov will be the toughest test to date for Conor McGregor.

Conor McGregor (21-3 record) (9-1 UFC) is arguably the most celebrated athlete in combat sports history, future hall of fame and the first fighter in the UFC to hold both Featherweight & Lightweight titles consecutively. Not only did Conor win the Featherweight title but he ended an 11-year streak of fan favorite Jose Aldo within 15 seconds of the first round.  

Conor’s high-level striking is some of the best counter fighters we’ve ever witnessed inside the Octagon, holding a brown belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu many forget Conor also possesses some great groundwork which we saw more of in his earlier UFC fights.  

The Dublin born Irishmen is no stranger to big money PPV events, constantly in the spotlight inside or outside the octagon this Saturday will be nothing but familiar ground. Plumber turned MMA fighter, Conor became the first double champion in two weight divisions for Cage Warriors promotion before signing with the UFC in 2015, and since then Conor has used his witty personality, somewhat arrogant approach to other fighters and constant TKO finishes to propel himself into the mainstream media becoming the highest-earning athlete in UFC history and once again earning himself championship’s in multiple weight classes.

The martial artist, the showman, the whiskey brand and proud countrymen with devastating hands will return home in four days, This Saturday Khabib will face the most elite striker he has ever come across.

The Beef

Earlier this year, Artem Lobov from team SBG Ireland (McGregors Gym) who is a long time training partner and friend of ‘The Notorious One’ found himself in an altercation with Khabib Nurmagomedov where Khabib cornered Artem and apparently raised his hand or lightly slapped Artem.

In a retaliation attack during a promotional press conference, McGregor and near enough 20 other members of his team were allowed into the Barclays Centre running riot in the arena. Obviously, wanting to confront Khabib and his team to seek some sort of revenge for the Artem cornering.

Whilst on a bus full of other fighters making appearances for the conference, McGregor allegedly confronted Khabib in the craziest fashion by picking up a steel barrier known as a ‘dolly’ and throwing it at the bus. This attack shattered the glass leaving a couple of fighters injured instantly becoming unavailable for the upcoming fights which led to Connor’s arrest and a whole pile of lawsuits to deal with.  

Since both dramas, fans have been itching for the Lightweight Title fight to be made between the two and sure enough, we finally got what we wanted. This is not just Khabib defending his legacy or Conor taking back his Lightweight Title, this fight ladies and gentlemen is personal.

The Matchup

No secrets or surprises when talking game plan with this fight, Khabib will want to maul Conor with his Sambo/Wrestling skills and eventually hope to finish the fight on the floor and on the other hand, Conor will want to keep the fight standing and outstrike or potentially KO Khabib with his elite striking skill.

The question remains, is Conor’s takedown defense good enough to escape the heavy pressure style wrestling that Khabib brings into every fight he has? Nobody has managed to escape the bear-like grip of Khabib in all of his UFC stints, so if you look at the numbers you would automatically assume it’s a long night for Conor.

We’ve heard it with Chad Mendes and Eddie Alvarez, two of the UFC’s strongest wrestling base fighters, “Conor has no chance against a wrestler”, only to prove his doubters wrong time and time again.

Yes Chad Mendes managed to take Conor down and maintain top control for a longer period than anybody else has managed but Conor was unleashing offense from his back constantly whilst waiting for the moment he could escape, finally ending the fight with another KO Conor had the doubters stunned.

Khabib might give Conor a gas tank he can’t keep up with, we all know Khabib loves to spam the takedown and drain the battery in his opponents leading to an eventual takedown without fail. We saw Conor lose gas in both his lengthy bouts against Nate Diaz. It’s been two years, has Conor focussed on that part of his game, I think it’s safe to say of course he has but watching Khabib walk out in round 3 the same as he did in round 1 is not the type of cardio you want to play with.

Conor will have to do what he does best, read the distance quick whilst keeping his opponent at the end of his strikes, wait for the impatient rush and counter strike them until unconsciousness. If Conor can avoid the takedown he is sure to raise the gold belt once again, but if he doesn’t finish early and eventually becomes tired it will be a long and painful night for the ‘Notorious One’ dealing with body locks, ground and pound, with some chained takedowns if you think about trying to get up. Khabib will beat Conor for 5 rounds, finish him with ground and pound or until he gives up a submission opportunity if the Irishmen can’t find a way to keep it standing.  

Khabib will also need to find his range quick but not the long distance range, the close one. He needs to keep away from any sort of stand up war with Conor otherwise the Russian will be in serious danger. Spamming Conor with the takedown, constant ground and pound from the moment the bell rings utilizing his cardio is all that Khabib needs to do.  If he can take Conor into deep waters his confidence will only grow and Khabibs legacy will stay intact, but if McGregor can sprawl Khabib there’s a chance that confidence might drop and his fists will raise leaving the opening Conor will be hunting for giving the Irish fans what they want which is a first or second round KO.

Final Thoughts

With everything said, I have absolutely no idea how this fight is going to pan out. Two of the highest level fighters in the entire company go face to face in a personal war which will go down in the history books. My advice to you, put your money in your pocket, tune in Saturday and enjoy the fight for what it is.

Scheduled to be the biggest fight in UFC history, tune into UFC229 live at 3 AM BST on BT Sport. 


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His stats since he started with TipstersClub:

Total Profit 47.674 units
ROI 11.671%
Bets won 92/176 (51.899%)
Total Stake 408.500 units
Average Stake 2.321 units
Average Odds 2.069

 

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Craig29-147s and his results at TipstersClub.Com continue to AMAZE!

After 8 months since TipstersClub.Com has opened its premium service, we can undoubtedly say that there are good tipsters in the team, tipsters that have proven long-term profits in the past years, but we also can say that all tipsters, BUT ONE, have found some bad variance during these months.

That tipster that has delivered month in and month out is Craig29x147s!

If you haven’t read Craig’s bio page (Link to Craig’s Bio) you should definitely do it, even as a light read. Long story short he is a former top 100 professional snooker player. Back in the day, he played O’Sullivan, Hendry, Davis (these are all world champions, just FYI if you didn’t follow snooker at all) and so on.

After quitting the professional sportsman life he started gambling and poker,  providing a living from these. Combining a fine knowledge about the sport and mental aspects of all professional sportsmen, and also a mathematical thinking with a gambling education (created for years and years of gambling), makes him the tipster to follow! After having won several years his money via snooker betting and poker he started betting on his other beloved sport: golf. Analyzing each week the performances, watching tons of golf and using stats and personal approaches to the sport and betting he managed to end past years with an ROI higher than 15%, which insane on the number of bets taken.

He has been self-sustaining, financially, for at least 15 years now and that is something I would, personally, search in a premium tipster. The general opinion about the sports betting is mostly wrong, as people tend to follow only sports they understand and they can partly analyze themselves. The true story about paying a premium tipster is that you have to blindly follow what he sells, from betting tips, minimum odds, bookies and to most important staking plan. Never doubt what a professional is tipping and, IF you found a true expert in that sport and with a betting experience, don’t ever judge the picks he made. I know a lot of persons that don’t follow golf at all and have subscribed to Craig… Placing the bets from Monday to Wednesday… and just checking the results on Sunday (most of the times collecting profits too).


Now about the results, which is the best way to draw a more eloquent picture. As you know he is tipping two sports, divided into 3 services (Snooker, Golf Places Model, Golf Outright Model).

I will analyze each service on its own and all together (best option to purchase all services to be able to trick the variance more easily).

Combined stats: 

If you would have followed all tips from all 3 services you would have had 7 out of 8 months in profit, and having unbelievable stats!

Growth graph:

Statistics:

So let’s draw this even more and introduce the money part into the ecuation:

Total Profit 257.08 units
ROI 29.95%
1 unit = 10 € Profit: +2,570.80 €
1 unit = 20 € Profit: +5,141.60 €
1 unit = 50 € Profit: +12,854.00 €
1 unit = 100 € Profit: +25,708.00 €

Just consider that you had to pay following prices for the entire year (and still would have 4 months left):

Package Price / Period
Golf Places Model €200.00 / year
Golf Outright Model €120.00 / year
Snooker €250.00 / year
TOTAL €570.00 / year

Even with a €10.00 / unit stake you would have made +2,000.80 €

Outright Model stats: 

If you followed the outright model service, you would have got 6/8 profitable months, and an amazing 118% ROI! All these came from outright betting, each-way betting, and first-round-leader betting!

If you ever saw a better stats sheet, please share… But I doubt you have seen something like this after almost 400 bets with huge odds:

With an advised 100 units starting bankroll on outright betting, you would have tripled it during these months! That ROI and an average stake of 0.45 units make the results even sweeter!

Places Model stats: 

You can see a steady and confortable (also easy to get odds) profit and growth of the bankroll. The Places Model had 4/8 profitbal months since the start in February. All these results came from Places bets (top5, 10, 20, 30, 40) and first-round places bets:

The stats speak for themselves:

With a starting bank of 120 units and an average stake of 0.82 units you would have increased your bankroll during these months with a +40,30% margin!

Snooker stats: 

It is important to state that we started the snooker betting in the end of the competitional season, and the stakes during these past months have been rather small (average stake 1.03 units)compared to what they will become.

Betting snooker during these months would have brought you a 4/8 profitable months and a small profit:

As you can see, there was no big involvement during the summer break, and this month Craig will start to increase the stakes and drift the bets won % as the competitional snooker has fully started.


What to expect from each service?

Snooker – reliable profits, medium stakes, small variance, 1.50-4.00 odds (money-line, outrights, asian handicaps, centuries bets, totals)

Outright model – huge profits, small stakes, high variance, huge odds (first round leaders, each-way and outright winners)

Places model – good profits, bigger stakes, low variance, medium to high odds (Top5, 10, 20 and 40 for first round or tournament)

If you will follow him blindly, you won’t regret it for sure- That I can guarantee. There are at least 25 more tournaments in 2018, in golf, and in each week you will have at least one tournament taking place… which can be translated in having bets week in, week out.

These packages are meant for people that look at betting in a professional way, punters that can follow blindly a professional tipster and ask no questions. The Places model will use lower prices, top 5, top 10, top 20 and top 40 markets for the outright or first round leader market, used from usual bookies. The outright model will use the usual outright betting for the event or first-round leader, combined with the each-way betting on most of the bets (considering that the prices will be high tho).

We have adjusted the prices of the golf packages, making them more affordable and also we have introduced the long-term packages, where there is a discount included in the price!

Our suggestion is to purchase all 3 packages because:

  • Variance can be tricked better (whenever golf is down, snooker might help, and vice-versa)
  • The prices are affordable and spreading the bets along more bets with same ROI is wise decision
  • Craig will gain more money via subscriptions and we can keep him in the team even longer
  • Spread the bets around more bookies, and more sports is always wise

 


Time to subscribe! 

Get the golf subscriptions by visiting Craig’s golf product page: Link here.
Get the snooker subscriptions by visiting Craig’s snooker product page: Link here.

Read Craig’s bio, see his stats and see his reviews by visiting: Link here.

Bueno can’t manage ‘The Savage’!

Heading into another great UFC event this weekend playing host to the beautiful Sau Paulo, Brazil. One fight I have my eye on, in particular, is Gillian Robertson vs Bueno Silva.

Better known as ‘The Savage’, ATT (American Top Team) breakout star Gillian is already on 2 fight win streak in the UFC which she claimed within 5 months of signing with the organization beating both Emily Whitmire and Molly McCann convincingly via submission.

The Canadian savage Gillian trains alongside some of the best fighters in the world including Amanda Nunes, Tyron Woodley, Tecia Torres, Colby Covington over at ATT and it’s this type of experience and knowledge which I think will give her the advantage this weekend.

Her opponent Mayra Bueno shouldn’t be taken lightly and by all means, I do not think this is an easy win for Gillian but with so much money coming in on all the highly favored fighters we have to look for value elsewhere, which my followers know is important to me.

Mayra is unbeaten in her professional MMA career but makes her UFC debut this weekend against a very well rounded opponent in Gillian. I think both ladies possess the tenacity to get the job done but I’ll side with the more professional experience and the higher caliber of the gym that comes with ‘The Savage’.

The pressure will surely be on for Bueno, as she debuts inside the UFC octagon in her home country, the support system works both ways because as much as the fans will be cheering her on, how will the nerves, bright lights and expectations effect her fighting against a tough Gillian Robertson who has won both her UFC fights in hostile territory.

So with the final UFC event of September just a day away, we’ll make our last free tip before the McGregor/Khabib countdown begins.

Gillian Robertson to win

Stake : 1.5 units @ 1.67 (Pinnacle)

UFC Fight Night 137 takes place this Saturday, September 22 from the Ginásio do Ibirapuera in Sao Paulo, Brazil. The early preliminary card featuring Bueno Silva vs. Robertson will be aired live on UFC Fight Pass from 11:30 pm BST.


Did you like this preview and the past ones? Subscribe to DaveBets’ package and get all bets!

 

His stats since he started with TipstersClub:

Total Profit 43.934 units
ROI
11.411%
Bets won
82/158 (51.899%)
Total Stake
385.000 units
Average Stake 2.437 units
Average Odds
2.073

See the service description, check the prices and SUBSCRIBE visiting: DaveBets’ Product Page
Read DaveBets’ BIO, see his STATS, and his PAST BETS by visiting: DaveBets’ Tipster Page

‘The Colonel’ Mikhail Youzhny Gives Final Salute

“I can say I had a great career. I never thought I could play until 2018 and I can play at a high level,” Youzhny told ATPWorldTour.com.

“I was one of the youngest guys from my age who went into the Top 100 and from all the times, I was at a high level. All the time I can say I was a professional, that’s why I maybe stayed later in the tennis career.”


Starting to write an article about a tennis-player that I have been watching almost his entire career, a tennis-player that is now retired, that is a hard thing to do. A hard thing? You might ask. Yes! It is hard because he has done so much in his 20 years of pro-tennis, but also hard because it makes you feel old and you can feel the time passing by.

This is my first article about any player, and to be honest, I am pretty sad and sorry that I have, sort of, to do it. You will read something about Youzhny everywhere these days, and this article is meant to keep his memory alive despite retiring.

 

Mikhail Youzhny was born on 25th June 1982 in Moskow, Russia to Mikhail, a Soviet army colonel and Lubov, a professional tennis player. He has started playing tennis at age 6 and turned pro at age 17. It was his father who had steered him and older brother Andrei into tennis and sacrificed his career in the Soviet army to support them; it was because of his father that Boris Sobkin became his coach at the age of 10.

At the age of 13, he was a ballboy for a Russia – United States Davis Cup final in Moscow. His juniors career brought him 3 doubles titles and a runner-up title, and one singles title and 1 runner-up (Australian Open Final in 1999), having a decent record in the 4 years of juniors activity (45W-23L in singles and 28W-16L in doubles) and reached a career high of #20 in those junior rankings.


Playing Style, Coaching and equipment

Talking about Mikhail Youzhny, one has to mention the powerful and consistent groundstrokes on both sides, combined with the deadly accurate backhand slice. However, while his backhand slice was a good defensive weapon, his main attacking weapon was his one-handed backhand hit with topspin, which he used successfully cross-angled, but down-the-line too.

He used as backhand grip around 3/4 of the way from Continental toward Modified Eastern. His grip is close enough to Modified Eastern to allow him to hit topspin with reasonable comfort, but most players would hit stronger topspin with a grip right on Modified Eastern or closer to Full Eastern. Youzhny’s backhand grip would work well for the slice, but it changes to an Eastern forehand grip for his slice.

According to The New York Times columnist Christopher Clarley, Youzhny’s one-handed backhand was one of the more unusual ones on tour, hit with a “free left arm accompanying his right arm as he swings through the ball.”

He was also noted for his good court sense and often used drop shots to mix up his game, and he is very talented at volleying, not surprisingly those great doubles results.

Youzhny was good on all surfaces and was noted for his all-court game and was noted for his ability to be able to change surfaces quickly without difficulty. However, his favorite surface was hard indoors.

Youzhny was known on tour for his post-match military salute at the end of the match. Honoring his late father, Youzhny placed his racquet on his head while saluting the crowd instead of the hat that Russian military protocol dictates.

Boris Sobkin was Youzhny’s coach since the age of 10 because of Youzhny’s father’s interference, while his fitness trainer is Oleg Mosiakov. Youzhny wore Adidas clothing and Barricade 7.0 shoes and used a Head Graphene XT Extreme Pro racquet.


Year-by-Year Career

1998

Mikhail’s first professional match was in Russia, on hard courts, against #589 Denis Glazov, in 1998. He lost that match from set up, 5-7 6-3 6-2, but everybody could have seen the talent and potential this young lad had. During 1998 he managed to reach a quarter-final in Russia F2, which was a great result considering he was there a wild card.

1999

Mikhail started playing regularly in on the pro-circuit in 1999, and during August (as a 17 years-old youngster) he managed to win his first two ITF titles WITHOUT DROPPING A SET:
– Belarus F1 on indoors carpet, defeating #593 Michael Llodra (who will be in the next years a top player too, career high of #21, 5 singles titles and 26 doubles titles, from which 3 Slam doubles titles)
– Russia F2 on hard, defeating #894 Ben Qiang Zhu

October came and he won another 2 ITF titles:
– Great Britain F10 on hard, defeating #568 Tom Spinks
– Great Britain F11 on hard, defeating Helge Koll Frafjord

It was clear he was too good for the ITF level (32-14 record for the 18 months spent on this level) and this is where he did the transition to the Challenger level, without playing an ITF match since.

In his first Challenger even he managed to get to the QF of Nuembrecht CH in November 1999, losing to #114 Martin Damm but also winning against #55 Jeff Tarango during that week.

2000

The year 2000 was another transition year for young Youzhny, now from Challenger level to ATP level. This year he reached his first Challenger final (Cherbourg CH) and won his first Challenger title funny enough, on clay(Samarkand CH).

Notable wins during this season were on ATP level, in Moskow, where he managed to defeat #36 Fabrice Santoro and #60 Thomas Johansson, reaching his first ATP quarter-final (lost to #35 Marc Rosset). This year he faced for the first time, GOAT-to-became, Roger Federer (#29 at the time), to whom he lost 5-7 6-4 6-3 in Stockholm.

2001

At the age of 18, the Russian youngster was saying goodbye to the Challenger level and started grinding the ATP level, also breaking the top 100 for the first time (after the wins in Australian Open over #115 Diaz and #62 Zabaleta). He then managed to reach the SF of Copenhagen where he lost to #47 Vinciguerra a 3-set battle. During 2001 he represented for the first time Russia in Davis Cup, losing 3-0 to #5 Magnus Norman, and 2-1 to #25 Thomas Johansson in a dead-rubber match. Reaching his first Masters R16 came in the next week. His first R16 in a Slam came the same year, in Wimbledon, having defeated #31 Voltchkov, #69 Dupuis, and #25 Santoro, just to lose in 4 sets to #10 Pat Rafter (runner-up in that year). He ends the year with a 20-21 record, all matches played on ATP level and Davis Cup.

2002

The year 2002 is a break-through year for young Youzhny, as he manages to win his first ATP title in Stuttgart, on clay, defeating #19 Canas in the final, but also winning his first match against a top-10 opponent, in #7 Tommy Haas, in Munich. He ends the year with a 31-24 record, a final in St. Petersburg, lost to #7 Grosjean, and a 5-set win in Davis Cup against #36 Mathieu. At the end of 2002, he manages to reach his all-time high ranking of #32.

2003 and 2004

The year 2003 brings Mikhail a SF in Doha, a R16 in Australian Open, a SF in Halle (lost another 3-setter to Federer), a SF in Lyon and a 29-28 record for the year. He managed to gather a couple of more top-10 wins, all 4 wins to Jiri Novak (as #7, #10, #10, and #9).

In 2004 Mikhail manages to become a stable ATP player, winning constantly matches against top-10 opponents (#6 Schuettler, #4 Coria, #9 Nalbandian, and #8 Henman). HIs first top-5 win comes this year too, in the first round of Dubai, against #4 Guillermo Coria. He manages to win his second ATP title too, in St. Petersburg, defeating Karol Beck in the final. He ended the year with a 42-27 (61%) record.

2005 and 2006

Most notable results of 2005 were the 5-set loss in Australian Open against Rafael Nadal and QF in Cincinnati lost against Roddick. He ends the year with a 23-23 (50%) record. In 2006 Mikhail ends 2006 with a 25-21 (54%) record, but this year brings him his first Slam semi-final in US-Open, where he managed two top-5 wins too, against #5 Robredo, and #2 Rafa Nadal. He managed to win 1 doubles title (along with Max Mirnyi) and reach 2 more doubles finals.

2007 and 2008

The year ’07 starts very good with another ATP trophy (1st 500 ATP title) in Rotterdam (indoors), winning against #8 Ljubicic, and a runner-up in Dubai (lost to #1 Federer), winning against #2 Nadal in the QF too. 2007 is set to become Youzhny’s most successful year (total wins) with a 50-24 (68%) record.

2008 will leave a mark on Russian’s career as it’s the year where he settles the biggest win of his career (6-0 6-1 over #2 Nadal in the Chennai Final), and win his 4th ATP title. Another top-5 win, over #4 Davydenko, will boost him into the QF of Australian Open. He ends the year with a 28-22 (56%) record. This year he managed to get his highest ranking No. 8 (28 January 2008)! He won 2 doubles titles in 2007 (along with Zimonjić and Kohlschreiber) and 2 doubles titles in 2008 (both along with Zverev).

2009 and 2010

These two years will be the best years of Youzhny’s career, as he wins 3 ATP Titles (Kremlin Cup, Munich, and Malaysian Open) and reaching another 6 finals.

2009 will have a record of 48-30 (62%), while 2010 43-19 (69%), 2010 being the best Youzhny year in the win % department.

In 2010 he managed to get to his 2nd and final Slam Semi-Final, where he lost to #1 Rafael Nadal. He won Queen’s doubles title along with Moodie in 2009, and Halle title along with Stakhovsky in 2010.

2011

The first time in 5 years where Mikhail doesn’t manage to get at least to an ATP final, comes with nothing notable, but a set won against #3 Federer in Wimbledon and a record of 29-25 (54%). He still, somehow, won a doubles title in Dubai, along with Stakhovsky.

2012

Fortune, in facing no Top-40 opponents, and some good form will bring the 8th singles title in Zagreb, defeating #97 Lukas Kacko in the final. He managed to win the doubles title of Zagreb too, along with Baghdatis. The year is set to continue in a good way, ending 2012 with a 33-21 (61%) record.

 

2013

The last really good year of Youzhny’s career will bring him titles no. 9 and 10 (last singles titles), and another runner-up. He won against Haase in Swiss Open, and against Ferrer in Valencia (second ATP 500 title). The year ends on a rise with a 39-24 (62%) record.

2014-2017

These can be called the drop of Youzhny’s level and career, having not won a single title, neither reaching a final.

2014 ends with 18-23 (44%) record, and 2015 with 21-28 (43%) record. 2015 is the year Youzhny drops out of the top-100 for the first time in many years.
The year 2016 is the year Youzhny decides it’s time to step on the Challenger tour once again, where he wins 3 consecutive Challenger events to start 2016 (Bangkok Challenger x2, and Manila Challenger), getting again in the top-100 and getting some ATP main draw entries once again. He ends 2016 with a 34-20 (63%) record, but only 17-18 (49%) on ATP level.

2017 comes with a 31-28 (53%) all-level record, as he won another 2 Challenger events (in Ningbo and Ho Chi Minh, in October 2017), but only a 10-20 (33%) record on ATP level. It seems Youzhny has found a way to keep grinding the top-100, by playing and winning Challenger events. It is clear that his quality is too good for the Challenger level, but a bit bad for ATP level, which is really sad.

2018

2018 is called the last season of the career of Mikhail Youzhny and finishes in the same bad ATP record we got used to in the past years, 7-18 (28%). He needs to play a couple of qualification matches in each tournament to get his entry but doesn’t manage to win consistently on the ATP Level.

His last tournament was played in St. Petersburg, his most successful tournament on ATP level, reaching 3 finals, and winning 1 title. Unfortunately, he lost to Bautista-Agut (6)6-7 6-3 3-6 in the R16, despite having 2 set points in the 1st set and missing 2 BPs in the 3rd at 3-3 40-15*. Kind of ironically to lose your last match in this way, being up in all 3 sets and still losing.

Olympics

Youzhny participated in three Olympics: Athens 2004, Beijing 2008 and London 2012.

In Athens, he reached the quarterfinals and ended up losing to silver medalist Mardy Fish. He also played doubles in Athens, partnering up with Marat Safin, but ended up losing to Bob and Mike Bryan in the first round.

In Beijing, Youzhny reached the third round but lost to Novak Djokovic. In the doubles competition, he and Dmitry Tursunov reached the second round, losing to eventual champions Roger Federer and Stanislas Wawrinka in two sets.

In London, he lost in the first round to Julien Benneteau. At the doubles he was more successful; he and his partner Nikolay Davydenko reached the second round, losing in two tiebreaks to Bob and Mike Bryan. In the mixed doubles, however, he and teammate Elena Vesnina lost in the first round in straight sets to the Argentine team of Gisela Dulko and Juan Martin Del Potro.

Davis Cup

He played 11 years for Russia in Davis Cup, gathering wins in singles over C. Rochus, Mathieu, Stepanek, Ratiwana, Llodra, Blake, Gasquet, Petzschner, Zimonjic, Hanescu, Bopanna, Devvarman, Leo Mayer, Mello, and Bellucci. Combined with that singles record he managed to win against Marach/Peya, Calleri/Nalbandian, Sluiter/Van Lottum, and Garcia/Gonzalez. He won the Davis Cup in 2002 and 2006 (in 2002 he won the deciding match against Mathieu, coming from 0-2 down to win 3-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4, and in 2012 he won the doubles match along with Tursunov against the Argentines).


“If you really want to do something, and you give 100 percent of your time to this goal, you’ll have a chance to receive back from your investment,” Youzhny said.


As a summary of records in singles:

All-time, All level: 627-472 (57%)

Slams: 101-68 (60%)
Masters: 88-117 (43%)
All ATP: 499-416 (55%)
Qualifying ATP: 11-3 (79%)
Challengers: 66-30 (69%)
ITF Futures: 32-14 (70%)
Davis Cup: 15-11 (58%)

Most Match Wins In History By A Russian

Player | Record

1. Yevgeny Kafelnikov 609-306
2. Mikhail Youzhny 499-416
3. Nikolay Davydenko 482-329
4. Marat Safin 422-267
5. Andrei Chesnokov 344-259

Most ATP Match Wins In History

Rank | Player | Match | Wins

1. Jimmy Connors 1256
2. Roger Federer 1168
3. Ivan Lendl 1068
——————————
46. Mikhail Youzhny 499


Awards and personal life

Youzhny was awarded by the Russian government with the title “Honoured Master of Sports” in 2003 for his participation in Russia’s Davis Cup victory the previous year.

Youzhny began studying for a degree in philosophy at the University of Moscow in 2005, specializing in the philosophy and attitudes of tennis. He obtained his Ph.D. in December 2010. His thesis was entitled “Professional Tennis Players on the Court” and “was about other players and how they compared up against one another”.

When asked about his thesis, he said “I wrote it slowly when I had the time … You find out about other players and try to compare them with you. You look at what you have to do against them or what changes they may make before their matches or during your match with them.”

Youzhny married Yulia on 22 November 2008 in Moscow; the couple has two sons, Maxim born 4 December 2009 and Igor born 4 July 2012.


Opinions about Mikhail Youzhny

Novak Djokovic:

“Mikhail […] has one of the nicest and most efficient one-handed backhands on the tour. It seems a little bit unorthodox the way he holds his racquet, then [he] releases with two hands and in the end with one hand. But he’s a very talented player.”

Milos Raonic:

“Incredible person, first of all. Him, his coach Boris as well, have been some of the kindest people to me since I broke out on tour[…] He’s always around, he always finds opportunities, creates opportunities for himself, plays well and he’s been a real pleasure to have on tour.”

Tomas Berdych:

“I remember him since I started on the tour, and that’s already quite a few years… He’s a guy who has been around for a while. He’s achieved a lot and he was always a very, very tough opponent for me.”

Karen Khachanov:

“When he was at his best form he was playing really well, beating top guys and was a Top 10 player at a time. He is a good example for Russian players. He won the Davis Cup two times. When he was younger, he was faster and hit flatter and more powerful, but he was always tough to beat. He and his coach, Boris, were always helping and following me, giving me good advice. He has been a great influence.”

Nicolas Kiefer:

”I saw him and my first question was always, ‘You’re still around? You’re still playing?’ He said, ‘Yeah, well I love this sport and it’s great.’…As you can see, he’s very competitive, but he also enjoys it.

Tarpishchev:

“He was always a true team player, giving his all each and every time for the team,” he said. “We will really miss him.”

 


Memorable Moments

  • Bloody match

This match was played at Sony Ericsson Open in Miami when Mikhail Youzhny, one of the players, created a ruckus on the court with his insane antic. During the third set of his match against the Spaniard Nicolas Almagro, the Russian player started to hit his racquet against his head after a making a backhand unforced error in a crucial point, as he was having the break point to tie the set on 5-5. At the end, Youzhny prevailed in the third set tie-break by seven points to five, but that blood on his face will be one of the most historical images forever.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpm0gxvaW6M

 

  • “Sorri”

The 27-seeded Russian scraped “SORRI” into the clay with his right foot in the middle of his 6-0, 6-2, 6-2 loss to No. 6 David Ferrer on Saturday.

“There was a lot of people. That’s why I write ‘sorry.’ Because I can’t show them a nice game,” Youzhny said. “The way we played in the beginning, it was not really interesting for people.”

“People in the stands may not have noticed, but I think I had to do this,” Youzhny said.

 

  • Davis Cup 2002 Trophy and  3-6, 2-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-4 win over Mathieu

Tarpishev dropped the former World No.1 Yebgeny Kafelnikov, visibly unfit in the previous days, and lifted the spirit of 20-year-old Mikhail Louzhny, brought here as a practice hitter. A clash meant to define their respective careers in the coming years.

Never before had anyone recovered from two sets down to win a decisive fifth rubber in a Davis Cup final. ”The first two sets were not so good, but afterward I played like I can play” said Youzhny

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JkQYhP-tpJ4

  • Youzhny defeats Nadal 6-0 6-1 in the Chennai Final

A gracious Youzhny said: “This victory is a present from Rafa to me. I didn’t win today, Rafa just lost the match because he couldn’t move well.”

“Rafa was not Rafa, I did not play against Rafa today,” the Russian said. “I have to thank Carlos for keeping him on the court for four hours last night.

“I had no injury, just wanted the trainer’s help in overcoming tiredness,” Nadal said.

“Maybe I was a bit tired after the long semifinal, but I lost the final because Mikhail played very well.” Nadal said.

  • Youzhny had a beer from Tarpishev

During the 2007 Davis Cup match between Youzhny and Gasquet, Tarpishev saw that Youzhny was cramping heavily at score 6-2 6-3 6-7 5-7, and gave him a beer during the change-over… He eventually won the match 6-2 6-3 6-7 5-7 8-6.

  • Youzhny for the Love of Tennis (via ATPWorldTour)

After winning 10 ATP titles, decided to play challengers after dropping out of the top-100. He won 6 Challenger titles during 2015 and 2016, winning 6/6 finals played.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1K2DsFjRNk


Thanks for all the great memories, Misha!

Ardeal

Charles Byrd Will Lay Down The Hurt

I’m a year older and I’m back from my holidays just in time for UFC 228 (phew) and if you’re an avid fan of the UFC like myself you’ll be gassed up for this card. Charles ‘Kid Dynamite’ Byrd steps back into the Octagon this weekend for UFC 228 at the American Airlines Arena in Texas. 4 fight win streak (3 sub,1 KO) and zero K.O losses I love Kid Dynamite’s chances this Saturday/Sunday night. Charles is the older, more experienced and well-rounded fighter coming into this fight with Darren Stewart, this scrap will give Kid Dynamite the perfect chance to show the UFC fans what his made of.

Fighting out of Fortis MMA gym in Dallas Texas, the Dallas native Byrd stormed through Dana Whites contender series on two occasions beating both his opponents by submission and then in his debut for the UFC he gave the London fans a good reason to dislike him when he tapped out John Phillips in round 1.

Not only does Byrd have the skill to put your lights out, his wrestling and ground game have led him to 5 wins by submission in his professional career. In a recent interview with Fightful News, Charles seemed so relaxed and confident I can’t help but think he knows this fight is being laid out on a red carpet for him in his hometown. Talking on his opponent he said, “I match up well with Darren, I feel like my skill set, athletically and experience matches me up well with him”, “I believe at this point in time its a perfect matchup for me allowing me to showcase more of my ability in the octagon”. On being asked about his training camp Byrd said, ” Training camp has been phenomenal”.

Byrds opponent has the power to K.O majority of middleweights in the UFC but I feel like the game plan for Charles Byrd and his team will be to avoid the standup with Darren Stewart, and although every fight starts standing I know Byrd has the skill and strength to take this fight where he pleases.

Sorry to wrap up this weeks preview up so quickly as I’m running out of time and have been celebrating my birthday on holiday/vacation this week. Plenty of sporting action coming from me this week so please stay tuned and follow me on twitter.

 

Final Thought’s & Prediction

If Byrd doesn’t win this fight by submission, I feel like he will take the decision with ease. Unless Darren can land a lucky K.O punch (which nobody has ever done against Byrd) this is Kid Dynamites fight for the taking in his hometown of Dallas. With that said, my prediction and free tip for this weekend’s UFC 228 card will be Charles Byrd to win. Good luck to Mr.Byrd and I cannot wait to see his future progression in the MMA world.

 

Charles Byrd To Win @ 1.66

Stake : 2 Units

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Guido Pella vs Paolo Lorenzi match preview + free betting tip #USOpen

Pella v Lorenzi Match preview + free tip

Best match, betting-wise, from the second round of #USOpen has to be the match between Argentinian, Guido Pella, and Italian, Paolo Lorenzi. This is a battle of contrasts, a battle of generations and also a battle between two clay-court specialists on a hard court.

Guido Pella has a 24W-20L this season and 4W-5L on hard courts, while his career shows a 442W-277L on all surfaces and a 63W-59L on hard courts (since 2005).
Paolo has a 22W-22L record this season and a 3W-3L on hard courts, while his careers shows a 664W-514L on all surfaces and a 154W-124L on hard courts (since 2002).
It can be seen rather easily that both players enjoy more a clay-court grindm instead the hard courts.

Pella started the season in Doha, on hard courts where he reached the SF, losing to Rublev in a final set tie-break, and after that he lost ot Thiem (3-0), Verdasco (2-1), Youzhny (2-0) and Carballes (2-0) on hard courts. His only win on hard courts since January comes here in US Open 1st round and that is against Casper Ruud.

Lorenzi started the season in Doha too, where he lost to Monfils in the first round (2-1), Monfils being the Doha champion that week, then he played Sydney where he reached the QF, losing to Medvedev 2-0 (player who won Sydney that week) and then lost to Dzumhur 3-2 in Australia. His first win since January comes for him too in US soil against a top opponent, Kyle Edmund, whom he defeated 4-6 6-4 7-5 6-1 (being priced 8.67).
Pella got twice in the 2nd round at US Open, in 2016 he defeated Fratangelo and in 2017 he defeated Darcis.

Lorenzi on the other had managed to get to the 2nd round in 2014, to the 3rd round in 2016 and to the round of 16 in 2017. He defeated Nishioka in 2014, Berlocq and Simon in 2016, and Sousa, Muller and Fabbiano in 2017.
It is clear that both can play on hard courts, but choose not to because they feel more confortable on the slow surfaces.

 

Let’s talk match-up now.

Lorenzi won 77 matches against left-handers in his career and lost 75 of them, while in the passt year he managed to win 3 and lose 4 of them. His losses in the past year come to Krajicek, Verdasco, Zverev and Bagnis. His results against lefties on hard courts during his career are good, winning 20 matches and losing 17 of them. From those 20 wins, mention-worthy time-wise are Ramos in Sydney 2018 and Muller in US Open 2017.
Pella won 6 matches on hard courts in the past year (against top-100 opposition) and lost 10 of them. Similar players to Lorenzi can be called Carballes Baena (lost 6-4 6-2 in Winston Salem 2018, last week), Krajinovic (lost 6-4 6-1 in Paris 2017), Coric (won 6-4 7-6 in Chengdu 2017), Troicki (lost 2-1 in St. Petersburg 2017). These players are similar to Lorenzi because they can and will grind out points against opponents, and also because they possess really good backhands (which is important to have against lefty players).

The two players have faced each other 3 times in the past and the Italian leads 2-1. They have met once on hard court (in 2014 in Irving Challenger) and Paolo won it 6-1 3-6 6-4. The other two matches were on clay courts and Pella won in 2012, while Lorenzi won the most recent one in 2017 (Davis Cup match, won 6-3 6-3 6-3 as 2.16 underdog).

Seeing all these informations, I really don’t get why Pella is priced as he is, and also why Lorenzi isn’t favorite for this match. I guess it can be called a coin-flip at most, but to have Lorenzi @ 3+ is just insane. Lorenzi is in good form (despite starting 2018 in horrible way), he won 2 challenger events in the past month. Pella played okish on grass, got to a final in Umag where he lost to Cecchinato, and then played only 2 more matches in one month (lost to Carballes and win over Ruud).

Clear max-bet (10 units) on Lorenzi to win @ 3.05 from Pinnacle.

 

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