The week that nearly was…

The Open Championship has been and gone for another year and what a worthy winner Francesco Molinari is given his bogey-free weekend, Carnoustie or Carnasty as some call it finally showed it’s teeth on Sunday after a benign opening 3 rounds .

Sadly though this definitely didn’t help some of our bets and particularly Zander Lombard who would have been a massive winner for members on both place and outright models.

Surprisingly though Zach Johnson fell away despite Sunday’s conditions really being up to his street this was again costly for members having had 100/1 each way 10 places.

Fine margins indeed, with the near misses we could have smashed it given Danny Willett and Tom Lewis both missed out by one shot. Miyazato Yusaku we had at 22/1 top 20 fell away and Stewart Cink our 0.5 unit each way bet at 300/1 finished strongly after a shocking start to his opening round to finish a couple of shots outside a place.

All in all Sunday could not have gone any worse for us , maybe it’s variance kicking our butt after a run of solid weeks, in truth I’m happy all the bets we had found value, we did reduce stakes on place model as our average price went up to 14 but Sunday’s weather exaggerated the course thus class and experience climbed the leaderboard.

With our place model, we always analyze course and current form on each individual’s merits then build a model that’s average price rarely drops below 10, this will always give members a lower variance yield to compensate for higher variance Outright Model.

Onto this week and we have the Canadian Open at Glen Abbey which has a rich history for us to use ,also the snooker season starts with the Riga Masters on Friday, we already have bets advised and still plenty of time for new members to get on this week but remember stakes are small given start of year so always follow our staking plan.

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