Wimbledon 2018. Round 1. Day 2. Ardeal Analysis and Betting opportunities.

Second day of #Wimbledon will have be kind with us, quantity wise, and will see 32 ATP matches and 32 WTA matches and I will try to analyze shorty these 32 ATP matches.

We will see some top 10 seeds, like #7 seed Thiem, #3 Zverev, #5 Del Potro, #10 Goffin and #2 seed Nadal playing. Most memorable matches to be played are for sure between, Herbert and M. Zverev, Ebden and Goffin, Chardy and Shapovalov, Delpo and Gojowczyk, Kyrgios and Istomin, Tiafoe and Verdasco, and of course Thiem and Baghdatis.

Thiem will face Baghdatis in his first round and despite, Baggy being a capable grass-contender, I guess his recent form and physical problems will make it hard to put any pressure on the Austrian (let’s say mediocre on grass). I would definitely say this will end in 3 sets for the Austrian.

Ferrer will face Khachanov and one can consider this battle a battle of the generations, as 36-year-old Spaniard will face 22-year-old Russian. Ferrer struggled almost every season this surface (besides 2008, 2012 and 2013 when he reached QF in Wimbledon or won grass tournaments). Khachanov possesses the weapons to force an early Ferrer exit here, but a set he might lose, because of his mental issues and consistency. Khachanov should win this in 3 or 4 sets, anyway.

Another battle of the generations will be between Benneteau and Fucsovics.  Both have a rather mediocre record on grass, Benny with 42-41, and Fucsovics with 16-12. Benny played well in Queen’s, winning over Bolelli, McD, and Berdych, which is good for his standards, while Fucsovics has a 1-2 record this year on the grass with a retirement in Halle against Kohli (some ankle problem). The Hungarian is a capable player on grass (won Wimbledon juniors title in 2010) and this to go over 4 sets with Fucsovics winning in 4 or 5.

20-year-old Tiafoe will face 34-year-old Verdasco in one of the best matches to be played in the first round. Tiafoe has the weapons to make Verdasco struggle, while Nando’s recent form and performances make me question why he is favorite here. I guess a long match will be on the table here, with the younger one winning in 4 or 5 sets.

English hope, and best National ranked player, Kyle Edmund will face another very capable player on grass, Australian Alex Bolt. The latter has played 10 matches on grass this season and had a stunning performance during the qualifications here. He got past Halys, Ward, and Kokkinakis. The lefty serve will be a hard nut to crack for Kyle and I expect at least one tie-break here. Edmund should prevail in the end, but not easy at all.

One of the more faded matches is between Sugita and Klahn. Sugita a very good mover with a style suited for grass (flat and precise hitting) will face a player that got through qualifications (surprisingly), defeating Ojeda, Hoang, and Bolelli. His past record on the green stuff is horrible with 1-9 before the Wimbledon qualifications. I would see Sugita winning comfortably here in 3 sets.

Andreozzi and Zeballos will face for a place in the second round, I would say luckily, as both are horrible on the green stuff. Andreozzi has a 2-5 record on grass in his career, while Zeballos a 6-14 record. I would go with Zeballos tho, as he is a better server and I cannot see Andreozzi breaking him that easy.

Sandgren will face the multiple Wimbledon champion, Djokovic, for a place in the 2nd round, and I am sure, not even the „MAGA“ enthusiasts give Sandgren any chance here. Tennys played 4 matches on grass and he lost 3 of them, to some mediocre opposition (Dancvic, Millot, and Fratangelo). Djokovic in 3 without any doubt.

Australian bad-boy, Nick Kyrgios, will face Uzbekh player Istomin. Kyrgios played some good tennis pre-Wimbledon, despite having some injury problems. The fact that he returns so bad and Istomin can serve very good at times, make me believe that Kyrgios will have a harder job than the odds suggest. I might see a little upset here. Depending on both players day-performance. Both know how to win, both know how to tank. Anyway odds on the +6.5 for Istomin are juicy in my opinion.

Romanian Marius Copil will face the infamous Robin Haase from the Netherlands. Both possess a strong serve, Copil in favor here, and both have a pretty shitty return game, better on Haase here. I am sure we will see at least 4 sets here with a couple of tie-breaks played.

Funniest match of the first round for sure is the battle of the „Lucky Losers“. Bernard Tomic, a player you don’t know what to expect from, meets the Polish hope, Hurkacz Hubert. Both possess a strong serve and a long match is in order here, I assume. This for sure if we don’t consider the lame performance Tomic delivered in the final qualification round.

Younger Harrison brother will face Japan hero, Kei Nishikori. Christian Harrison delivered some stunning performance during the qualification rounds, defeating Oliveira, Novikov, and Schnur. Not sure how well Nishikori will manage to overcome this opponent, considering his past results in Wimbledon over the years. This might be closer than the odds suggest if the younger can hold his nerves.

Dzumhur and Marterer will face off in the first round and this is a pretty even priced match, by the bookies. In my books, Dzumhur should win this, as he is the more versatile player, has a better stamina and is also a grass tournament winner (Antalya 2018). Anyway, Marterer’s serve might be a tricky thing to break here in the fresh grass.

Ernests Gulbis, a former top 10 player, is on the path to success again as he realized that his career is ending soon and he has a couple of good years left. He needs to win and he did it in the qualification rounds. He is here to prove something and Clarke shouldn’t be the player to stay in his way.

Sonego will face Fritz in a match between two players that aren’t built for grass, despite possessing great weapons. Neither one of them can move well on this slippery and fast surface. They have met once, and funny enough, on grass and Fritz won in 3 sets. This might be the case here with an over 3.5 sets bet looking good.

James Duckworth of Australia will face the #3 player in the world, Alex Zverev. James didn’t play much lately due to injuries and hasn’t touched any grass matches since 2016. He’s is tho a very capable player on this surface. Zverev had some good results on grass, because of his huge weapons, but recently he struggled big time with injuries and long matches. He cannot close 3-out-of-5 matches shortly as we saw in Roland Garros, which make it hard for a good performance during Slam to happen. Might be closer than the odds suggest.

Delpo will face Gojo for a place in the 2nd round. Delpo has reached once the SF here in Wimbledon, while Gojo has managed to get once to the second round. Despite being a born grass-courter, Gojo has some injury doubts and I cannot see him make it hard for Delpo.

Long match to happen between Lopez and Delbonis, despite the huge odds on Delbonis. Lopez is made for this surface, with his slicing from the backhands, huge serves, and pretty net-plays. Delbonis never won a match on grass, but his serve and lack of return skills from Lopez can make this a contest. He also played well against Fognini couple of years ago in Wimbledon… losing 3-2 in the end.

I would say this one is the best round 1 match of Wimbledon 2018. In-form player, Jeremy Chardy, will face the young-gun Denis Shapovalov. Both possess huge weapons, both have a strong serve, both have the style made for grass. Chardy has a 12-2 record on grass this year, while El Chapo has 1-3 record this year on grass. I can see some tie-breaks happen as both have a good serve and a sub-mediocre return game. I would give the edge to the more capable player, right now, Jeremy.

The odds on Sock v Berrettini look very close and the bookies seem not to understand a thing here. They really don’t know who the edge has. I don’t know it either, sorry. Sock is in pretty shitty form, but his game is better than Berrettini’s. Both have a huge serve and huge forehands, and the fresh grass can make it hard for both to return. Tie-breaks are the go here and maybe over 3.5 sets too as none of these two are consistent enough to close it in 3, in my opinion.

Simon will face Basilashvili, once again. Seems like they meet every other week, these two. The battle of the styles will be nice match-up… with Simon pushing and pushing, while Basilashvili is the ball-basher and hit-and-hoper. Will be nice to see which form Basilashvili will have, as he is in the zone, Simon won’t have a chance (as we saw in French Open 2017).

Ramos will face the 38-year-old player from France, Stephane Robert. The latter got through the qualification stages without any big problems, but his price here at around 2.50 is a tad short for my taste, as Ramos can outrun the grandpa my quite a lot, despite not being made for grass.

Inform, Matthew Ebden will face #9 ranked David Goffin, from Belgium.  Ebden got to the QF in Halle where he pushed Federer close, while Goffin has played only one grass match this season, against Lopez in Queen’s. Goffin leads the H2H 3-1 and I cannot see Ebden win here, despite his great form and grass-tailed playing style. Goffin should be too consistent for Ebden in the end.

Schwartzi will face Basic in the 1st round, and despite Schwartzman never won a match on grass, I guess this will be the ice-breaker against a player that isn’t consistent enough, and also not very in-love with grass too. Might take 4 sets for the Argentine, but in the end, he will win his first grass match, for sure.

Vesely and Mayer will face off in one of the most inconsistent match-ups there can be. Vesely good for grass, but tho… his brain is broken at times. Mayer, on the other hand, is tailed for grass, but his body cannot handle a long match anymore as the years got by him. Over 3.5 sets would be the best bet here in my opinion.

A long match should happen here between Taro Daniel and Fabio Fognini. Daniel hasn’t won a grass match in his career prior to 2018, while Fognini never loved grass at all. Their only meeting was in Davis Cup this year and it was a 5-setter won by Fognini, which might also happen in Wimbledon.

The known fixer and Roland Garros biggest surprise, Marco Cecchinato, will face the Australian hope and Hewitt-copy, Alex De Minaur. De Minaur has the perfect game style for grass, as Hewitt had in the day, while Cecchinato still struggles with the style of grass, with the movement and with the flat hitting. He hasn’t played a competitive grass match until this year and I can see De Minaur winning comfortably here (3 or 4 sets).

A serve-orientated match that is, the one between Herbert and Mischa Zverev. Both possess the serve as the biggest weapon and both will rush to the net to close out points. This will be one of the most interesting matches there will be and a couple of tie-breaks will not be a surprise at all. A long match is on, as both struggle to return and serve hugely.

The ever-injured Canadian, Vasek Pospisil, will face the Kazakh legend, Kukushkin. Their past matches were short and both won at least one of them. Pospisil is better suited to grass tennis, but his physical condition is uncertain at this point. We might have a 3-setter, but I cannot tell to be honest. One of the most unpredictable matches there are.

Sela will face Nadal for the round 2 spot. Nadal is no. 1 in the world and #2 seed here in Wimbledon and has played a couple of grass court preparation matches, one lost to Pouille and one won to Ebden. Nadal’s results in Wimbledon, recently, have been sub-mediocre for his standards: lost to Muller in R16, lost to Brown in R2, lost to Kyriogs in R16, lost to Darcis in R1, and lost to Rosol in R2. Sela is an experienced grass-courter and the speed of the courts help his strategy. The Nadal topspin won’t be as profitable on grass and I can see Sela win at least a set here, if not do a „Darcis“, as we call these surprises.

Pablo Cuevas will face a lucky loser for the round 2 spot, Simone Bolelli. Cuevas played challenger tennis on the clay courts recently and has 0 grass matches this year. Dunno why that is, but Bolelli definitely has a real chance here. Odds on Cuevas are anyway too high, and the value is behind Pablo. Don’t forget that he got to a grass tournament final in Nottingham back in 2016.

Benoit Paire will face another lucky loser, Jason Jung. The latter lost the final qualification round against Fabbiano, while the flamboyant Frenchman showed some good form during the grass season. He has missed match points against Federer and defeated the likes of Johnson and Fritz. This might be easy for Benoit, but what is easy for him? When it is easy he finds a way to make it hard. No-bet for sure.

These are the matches of the second day of #Wimbledon and I think there some value behind the prices. Don’t try and read between the lines and subscribe for the Package! It offers a 200% money-back guarantee!

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4 Replies to “Wimbledon 2018. Round 1. Day 2. Ardeal Analysis and Betting opportunities.”

    1. Hey Nic,

      Thanks for the nice words! You know we do our best to analyze each match and bring value to the people. Sometimes the pick is a winner, sometimes it is a loser… But as the pros say. Long term profit is the only profit that counts!

      Kind regards,

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